Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.004645 0.005114 0.005620 0.006208 0.006875 0.007611 0.008486
2025-08-10 0.003835 0.004473 0.005214 0.006143 0.007289 0.008667 0.010469
2025-08-17 0.003421 0.004144 0.005024 0.006188 0.007707 0.009654 0.012387
2025-08-24 0.003079 0.003839 0.004800 0.006123 0.007934 0.010376 0.014013
2025-08-31 0.002767 0.003531 0.004525 0.005941 0.007954 0.010791 0.015233
2025-09-07 0.002571 0.003350 0.004392 0.005924 0.008183 0.011500 0.016961
2025-09-14 0.002470 0.003285 0.004406 0.006105 0.008705 0.012688 0.019593
2025-09-21 0.002295 0.003101 0.004233 0.005993 0.008764 0.013159 0.021111
2025-09-28 0.002141 0.002935 0.004071 0.005877 0.008798 0.013584 0.022599
2025-10-05 0.002034 0.002828 0.003986 0.005869 0.008998 0.014297 0.024710
2025-10-12 0.001968 0.002776 0.003979 0.005978 0.009400 0.015399 0.027736
2025-10-19 0.001864 0.002661 0.003865 0.005904 0.009477 0.015925 0.029701
2025-10-26 0.001778 0.002572 0.003789 0.005897 0.009687 0.016755 0.032532
2025-11-02 0.001687 0.002467 0.003685 0.005834 0.009792 0.017404 0.035124
2025-11-09 0.001625 0.002406 0.003645 0.005875 0.010093 0.018478 0.038920
2025-11-16 0.001549 0.002317 0.003552 0.005815 0.010190 0.019145 0.041883
2025-11-23 0.001458 0.002199 0.003405 0.005644 0.010052 0.019291 0.043556
2025-11-30 0.001403 0.002136 0.003345 0.005628 0.010223 0.020133 0.047271
2025-12-07 0.001382 0.002130 0.003383 0.005798 0.010792 0.021961 0.054219
2025-12-14 0.001319 0.002048 0.003281 0.005692 0.010768 0.022394 0.057206
2025-12-21 0.001259 0.001969 0.003182 0.005584 0.010726 0.022778 0.060152
2025-12-28 0.001218 0.001921 0.003136 0.005576 0.010904 0.023738 0.065233
2026-01-04 0.001196 0.001904 0.003145 0.005679 0.011343 0.025436 0.073367